Tips and race-by-race guide for Dubbo on Monday

Tips and race-by-race guide for Dubbo on Monday
By Neil Evans

Track good 4 and rail true.

Race 1

11. Imastatement is an emerging home-track filly resuming. Hasn’t raced since failing on debut here from a wide barrier after being backed from $5 into $4.20. Given plenty of time since, reportedly working well and drawn to do much less work this time earlier in the run with a stronger and senior jockey taking over. 9. Femella is a filly by Brave Smash on debut behind two handy trials, and is a clear threat. 6. Wanavan can improve sharply third-up on firmer footing and was scratched from Sunday’s Armidale meeting to run here. 10. I’m Opinionated is the best of the rest returning off a 10 week freshen-up.

How to play it: Imastatement to win.

Race 2

11. Miss Clamorosa is an ultra-consistent and hard-fit filly from the same stable as the previous on top selection, and the clear one to beat. Swept home for a dominant maiden win here early last month before missing narrowly in her next two, the latest stiff when going under by a whisker at Wellington. Better suited back on the bigger track and getting out over a much longer journey, where she can be ridden quieter. Emerges as the best treated runner under the set weight conditions. 10. Casino Diva ran home well first-up over a middle distance and will thrive over the longer journey on a bigger course. 4. Shubick can run a race deep into his prep; despite a sharp rise in distance. Big gap to the rest.

How to play it: Miss Clamorosa to win.

Racing returns to Dubbo on Monday, with a seven-race card.Credit: Getty

Race 3

12. Nightwalker represents terrific value, despite chasing a breakthrough win at his 25th attempt. Hit the line late three starts back before running home into a place in his next couple. Will get well back again from a wide draw, but has shown a real liking for this circuit and afforded a big weight drop 15 days between runs. Has been in the placings nine times. 1. Harry Tudor has placed in all four runs this prep and is bursting to win stepping up a furlong in trip. Ran home into a place from just off the speed in consecutive races here before being ridden quieter and again hitting the line late at Wellington. 3. Wolf Club has to overcome the outside gate, but will also appreciate the longer trip and a bigger track. 10. Mad Harry is over the odds, having beaten all but the winner closing off in his last two; while 7. Hideyo comes back from tougher provincial opposition second-up off a short break and can run into the money.

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How to play it: Nightwalker each way.

Race 4

1. Commando Jack is a tough five-year-old stepping up a furlong further deep into the prep. Has hit the line impressively into a place in his last two and will relish this bigger course settling well off the speed with plenty of cover. Up in weight for the drop in class but couldn’t be fitter and only needs clear air over the final 350m. 4. Call Me Terry is a serious threat fourth-up and likely to jump favourite. Missed by a neck in a handy BM 58 at Scone last time and has enough tactical speed to get over from a wide draw. 2. Laisvas is a local mare chasing a fifth consecutive win, the latest at higher BM 66 level, although that was a weak line-up for the grade. Draws to get a good run, but goes up heavily in weight. 3. Enterprise Lassie, dropping in grade second-up, and 7. Little Bit Flash, coming off an all-the-way win second-up in similar company, can both add value into trifecta and first four plays.
How to play it: Commando Jack to win.

Race 5

7. Pharoahzano is a progressive three-year-old emerging as the best value peaking fourth-up off a month-long freshen in a wide race with plenty of chances. Was stiff not to claim a BM 58 before making amends charging home late for a dominant win at Tamworth. Then did his best work late after a tough run against Class 3 opposition at Muswellbrook in what looks a strong form race. Less depth here and with plenty of cover back in the field from a low draw, he can be saved up for one superior surge from the 400m. 10. Midnight Affair is well-placed down in weight from the inside draw to make it two wins from his last three. Big watch on 6. Egyptologist, who resumes with blinkers back on behind two easy trials. Has plenty of ability when on the fresh side, and the big spacious track suits his pattern. 3. Ritzsun has been disappointing as favourite in two runs back from a spell and steps up sharply in trip. 4. Sanzeno draws well fourth-up with some weight relief.

How to play it: Pharoahzano to win.

Race 6

8. You Have To Go is an under-rated improver coming back from provincial company fifth-up over a shade more ground. Did his best work late at this track before disappointing on soft ground at Scone after being backed from $4 into $3.30. Ridden a touch quieter on the Beaumont track in heavy going a fortnight ago and hit the line impressively late. Up in weight here for the drop in class, but looking for this trip back on a suitably bigger circuit and gear changes have been made. 2. Pyromania is a fit and reliable weight carrier and best form is on dry ground. 4. Climate Control draws wide, but has been right in the money in his last three and has enough tactical speed to get across and find a position. Watch the betting on 5. Red Rags To Bulls, who reloads for a new campaign off a 30-week break after being pulled up at Scone on a very heavy track 17 days ago and found to be lame. 3. Byron’s Farm, on a 10-day turnaround from a dominant first-up win, and lightly raced 9. Take The Chance, reloading seven weeks after a dominant all-the-way maiden win here, can both add plenty of value into exotic returns.

How to play it: You Have To Go to win.

Race 7

5. Quick Sharp is a lightly raced and progressive filly peaking third-up in her first full prep. Won easily on debut last spring before spelling then returned with a disappointing effort as a short-priced favourite here a month ago. Went back home and missed narrowly in a deeper Class 2 on heavy ground. Is ready to win again, dropping in class and back on firmer footing. 2. Archaic Force is lightly raced and a big watch resuming off two improving trials.1. Wasted Days is a market watch trained on the track and resuming off a long break. 3. Man From Brussells is hard fit and placed in his last two, and has blinkers going on; while 12. Sorrento Palace second-up is the best of the rest.
How to play it: Quick Sharp to win.

Best bets: Race 1 (11) Imastatement. Race 7 (5) Quick Sharp
Best value: Race 4 (1) Commando Jack

Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au

Racing returns to Goulburn on Tuesday, with a seven-race card.Credit: Getty

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