By Ray Hickson
Selections based on a good track.
Race 1 – 2:00PM TOYOTA FORKLIFTS HANDICAP (1100 METRES)
4. Storm Boy was a $460,000 buy and has looked well above average in his two trial wins, putting big spaces on his opposition and it’s no surprise to see him come up a short priced favourite. Expect he will jump and run from barrier two and be very hard to run down.
Racing returns to Rosehill on Wednesday.Credit: Getty
Dangers: 3. Spywire has had just the one public trial and was quite sharp in winning over 900m here just over a week ago. He was a $520,000 purchase. Must respect him given the improvement he should have. 7. Canara trialled quite well in her first outing when landing just behind the speed then, not asked to compete in her second hitout so not paying a lot of attention to that. Finds James McDonald and well worth keeping safe. 1. Everybody Rise showed improvement into his second trial when run down late. He was a $1.4 million yearling and is in the mix.
How to play it: Storm Boy WIN; Trifecta 4/1,3,7/1,3,7.
Race 2 – 2:35PM PRECISE AIR HANDICAP (1400 METRES)
7. Sensory made a promising debut at Newcastle, charging into third after being a little green on the home turn. Was a drifter in betting there so likely open to improvement and with gate one and James McDonald to ride she should be very competitive here.
Dangers: 4. Vanquished was a drifting favourite first-up at Kensington, he led and was run down in the last 200m. Fitter for that and while he had his chance there if he gets some control up front he could be harder to run down. 9. Waikato Girl is another who created a handy impression at her first start as she ran on from near last into third at Kembla a couple of weeks ago. Extra 100m a plus and she could measure up. 1. Dolzino gave a good sight up front before being run down in the closing stages at Kembla at his third start. Not done a whole lot wrong and could be among the placings again.
How to play it: Sensory WIN.
Race 3 – 3:10PM ROSEHILL BOWLING CLUB HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
2. Fleetwood has the form on the board to be very hard to beat on the back of an eye-catching first-up second to Gustosisimo at Kensington a few weeks ago. That has stood up well and he’s fitter for the run back. Extra 100m a plus and big chance to go one better.
Dangers: 4. Runwiththetide was always handy in the run and held them off to score at Kensington first-up. Yet to run a poor race and in the small field could easily put himself in the finish again. 7. Armed Forces is back in class after tackling a Listed race at Randwick last time out. Wasn’t beaten far but fair to say he’s been a bit disappointing to date. 3. Zouprince showed early promise with a debut placing then a maiden win before failing at Canterbury in July. Has been trialling in open company and worth keeping an eye on here.
How to play it: Fleetwood WIN; Trifecta 2/3,4,7/3,4,7.
Race 4 – 3:45PM GHAIYYATH FIRST YEARLINGS HANDICAP (1500 METRES)
2. Molly Nails has found a nice race to post an overdue win. Had a month between runs going into her close-up fourth at Kensington a few weeks ago. Racing well without the best of luck and gets a 3kg claim to give her every chance.
Dangers: 4. Sky Diamonds has mixed her form a bit this time in but expect improvement on her latest effort at Wagga off a six-week break. Draws well and won’t get a better chance to measure up at this level. 5. Miss Hades won at Cootamundra and Orange before a solid third at Kembla where she hit the lead before being run down in the last 100m. Lightly raced and one of the main chances. 3. Miss Checkoni has been going OK in Midways of late, particularly her fourth at Rosehill in September at big odds. Should put herself on speed here and could give some cheek.
How to play it: Molly Nails WIN; Trifecta 2/3,4,5/3,4,5.
Race 5 – 4:20PM TAB HANDICAP (1300 METRES)
8. Atlantic Ocean didn’t have the best of luck off almost a two-month break at Kensington last time out and can be forgiven for that. He’s been a little costly but if he runs up to his previous effort behind Silvanito he’ll be good chance to break through.
Dangers: 3. Step Aside is lightly raced and has a handy record and nice fresh credentials. Won in this grade over 1300m in June and while his trials have been quiet he could easily jump out of the ground. Keep safe. 2. Cloudland did a good job when resuming to run down Shadows Of Love and that form has held up OK since. Fitter and while up 2kg has barrier one to give him every chance. 6. The King was always in control as he led by a margin and held them off to score at Kembla following a string of seconds. Bit harder here but likely will be on speed and can be hard to catch.
How to play it: Atlantic Ocean E/W.
Race 6 – 4:55PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1800 METRES)
4. State Of America enjoyed a nice run and broke through for a deserved Midway win at Randwick last time out after a few hard luck stories. Similar set up for him from a soft draw, shouldn’t be too far away from the pace again and looks hard to beat.
Dangers: 3. Go Troppo was well placed to score an easy win at Newcastle two runs back, returned to this grade and boxed on OK into fourth at Kensington two weeks ago after leading. Consistent type who has to be considered. 6. Xtrarevz was right in the market in the Midway won by State Of America but a wide gate saw him give away too much start. Again draws out which isn’t ideal but if you can run on he’s well worth including. 7. Buillt won over a mile three runs back then never in the hunt behind Port Lockroy. Better effort last time out in the same race as Go Troppo and is capable of being in the finish.
How to play it: State Of America WIN; Trifecta 4/3,6,7/3,6,7.
Race 7 – 5:30PM HEADWATER @ VINERY STUD HANDICAP (1500 METRES)
2. Hokkaido might be suited here if the pace is on as it looks it could be. Nice win second-up at Newcastle then good job up in class when running on from last at Rosehill. Will get back and will be hitting the line strongly. Good each-way chance.
Dangers: 11. Yet He Moves looked the winner at Kensington two weeks ago only to be nabbed in the last few strides. Past couple have been at 1800m so comes back in trip here which may be a small query but hard to ignore. 9. Master Copy was runner-up to Hokkaido first-up then even effort at Kensington where he didn’t really hit the line. Barrier one a plus and he’s entitled to another chance. 3. The Little Pumper comes back in class after contesting the Tapp-Craig and Callander-Presnell at his past couple. Wasn’t able to get near the lead there last time so forgive that, and it wouldn’t surprise to see him bounce back.
How to play it: Hokkaido E/W.
Best Bets: Race 3 (2) Fleetwood; Race 6 (4) State Of America
Best Value: Race 7 (2) Hokkaido
Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au
