Group 1 at the T20 World Cup has been left wide open thanks to a handful of no results, New Zealand’s dominance, and Ireland’s upset win over England last week.
After three matches, all six teams in the group are still in with a chance of finishing inside the top two and going through to the semi finals.
Even New Zealand, top of the table on five points and the form team of the tournament, could still technically fail to progress.
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Australia, meanwhile, does not have complete control of its destiny having lost heavily to the Black Caps in the opening match.
It means that Australia most likely needs to win both of its remaining matches against Ireland and Afghanistan, and handsomely, to go through to the next stage.
Given all six teams are still alive, there are many ways in which the final two rounds could play out.
Below is not an exhaustive list of all the scenarios, but here are the seven most likely ways in which Australia can reach the semi finals, depending on if it beats Ireland on Monday night.
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AUSTRALIA BEATS IRELAND
Scenario 1
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England loses one or more matches vs New Zealand and Sri Lanka
Scenario 2
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England beats New Zealand and Sri Lanka, but ends with worse NRR
Scenario 3
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England beats New Zealand and Sri Lanka
– New Zealand also lose to Ireland
Scenario 4
Australia goes through if…
– it loses to Afghanistan
– England loses to New Zealand and Sri Lanka
– Ireland loses to New Zealand and has worse NRR
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IRELAND BEATS AUSTRALIA
Scenario 1
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England loses both matches vs New Zealand and Sri Lanka
– Sri Lanka loses to Afghanistan
– Ireland loses to New Zealand and has worse NRR
Scenario 2
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England beats Sri Lanka, but loses to New Zealand and has worse NRR
– Ireland loses to New Zealand and has worse NRR
Scenario 3
Australia goes through if…
– it beats Afghanistan
– England beats New Zealand and Sri Lanka
– New Zealand beat Ireland, and Ireland has worse NRR
