Fallen contenders blowing it up; big fish up for grabs: NBA trades to watch

The NBA’s February 9 trade deadline (all times AEDT) isn’t too far away.

And there’s suddenly a big enough sample size for NBA teams to have a good idea on where they sit in the pecking order – and potential moves that make sense with their direction.

Plus with players who signed new contracts in the off-season now eligible to be traded, the rumour mill is heating up ahead of another silly season of wheeling and dealing.

Below, Foxsports.com.au runs through all the key things to watch and narratives at large ahead of the trade deadline.

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Do the Bulls blow it up?

The Bulls are probably the most intriguing team to watch given they’re considered most likely to make a move as sellers – or at least do something.

Frankly, it’s time to rip off the band-aid. For despite a recent resurgence, the 10-17 Bulls have again underwhelmed and are a ways off contending despite being in win-now mode.

Both DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine have been linked to exits, and though neither player’s value would be particularly high, they’d still be sought after by contending teams, with the Lakers and Kings considered the prime suitors for LaVine.

The Bulls have in fact turned around their season since LaVine, who’s in the second year of a five-year, $215 million deal, has been sidelined through injury, going 6-3 without the star guard. It’s crucially allowed the team’s younger players, most notably Coby White, to flourish with extra opportunities and touches.

DeRozan is meanwhile on a $28 million expiring salary, so not only could the forward help a contender, he could also help open up salary cap space for a rival team next off-season.

You sense at least one of LaVine or DeRozan will be in another jersey by the deadline in exchange for long-term assets, while Alex Caruso has also drawn interest and would command a nice package as one of the league’s premier defenders.

Warriors getting creative to extend golden era … or is it the end?

It’s been a disappointing season for the once almighty Warriors, mainly due to the Draymond Green drama. Could this be the last straw and the veteran forward is off-loaded?

Green problems aside, Golden State has just been mediocre on court, with Steph Curry’s brilliance at times masking over their issues. And so it seems a shake-up could be coming and the end of an era – or potentially an attempt to extend it – even though Steve Kerr has already changed up his rotation over the past week by moving Brandin Podziemski and Jonathan Kuminga into his starting line-up while benching Andrew Wiggins.

The Warriors simply can’t afford to waste Curry’s still elite production at age 35. If Golden State makes a move – and it’s not Green who’s traded – you’d think the likes of Kuminga, Wiggins, Moses Moody and Chris Paul (who’s basically on an expiring $30 million contract) would be the candidates to be moved. Could they make a play for Pascal Siakam or OG Anunoby?

Klay Thompson too faces an uncertain future in Golden State, with the sharpshooting champ eligible for free agency next year. But you’d think the Warriors would ride it out with Thompson instead of dealing such a loved player and four-time champion.

Fascinating sharpshooter

Just like seemingly every other year, Pacers sharpshooter Buddy Hield is again one of the most fascinating players to watch ahead of the deadline after extension talks with Indiana have stalled.

Starting the season on the bench and seemingly being out of favour, Hield has in recent weeks moved into the starting line-up and picked up his production. Though Hield is clearly Indiana’s next best three-point shooter after Tyrese Haliburton and provides elite floor spacing, the Pacers do have similar players in Aaron Nesmith and Bennedict Mathurin.

Hield is probably the most impactful of the trio, but if he’s not helping the team win games in a meaningful way, it could be the ideal to trade his modest $19 million contract for long-term assets, unless of course he agrees to an extension (which would mean he can’t be traded for six months), or it was an extend-and-trade deal. You sense contenders would be willing to pay up for Hield, too.

Big man on the move?

Another player that feels likely to be on the move by the deadline is Hawks centre Clint Capela.

Capela has been starting for Atlanta over Onyeka Okongwu through the first quarter of this season, but things have gone south quickly for Quin Snyder’s team over the past few weeks including a recent five-game skid. It feels inevitable that Atlanta at some stage hands the centre keys to Okongwu, but it’d only make sense if a Capela trade happens first.

If not, Capela’s trade value, just like the Hawks’ season, would quickly plummet, plus he’s still a high-level contributor that could help sides wanting to bolster their frontcourt.

LeBron getting more help

Does the Lakers general manager Rob Pelinka have anything up his sleeve this year to further bolster LeBron James and Anthony Davis’ supporting cast?

Pelinka pulled off some of the craftiest moves ahead of last deadline, bringing in the likes of D’Angelo Russell, Malik Beasley, Jarred Vanderbilt and Rui Hachimura despite having limited trade capital and sending away Russell Westbrook.

If LA does anything meaningful this year, Russell and Hachimura are two names that have been linked to potential moves, with the pair not eligible to be traded until January 15, which is interestingly when Zach LaVine is slated to return from injury.

LaVine is the one who could raise the ceiling of this Lakers team on the offensive end. But there’s an injury risk with him, not to mention the likely big cost it’d take to acquire the star guard – so it could be argued the Lakers are better served standing still with the current roster, which seems capable of making a deep playoff run.

Just a team to watch at this stage, whereas last year it had much bigger issues to navigate.

Do Raptors tear it down?

Another team that feels like a ticking time bomb in terms of entering full-blown tear it down mode. The two most obvious names that would net the Raptors a nice return are Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby, who can both become free agents at the end of the season.

Given the duo’s impending status and the team’s indifferent form, it could be the perfect time to trade at least one of them, particularly Siakam. For Anunoby is still only 26 and would still be a desired player if they move into rebuild, even if he’d yield the Raptors multiple picks/assets in a trade.

You have to think at least one of the two is moved though, particularly given Fred VanVleet left for nothing via free agency.

The other Raptor who could be dealt is Gary Trent Jr, who’s on an $18 million contract, has had his minutes cut back and has previously been linked to teams searching for outside shooting.

Jazz selling their parts

A team that was somewhat hard to get a gauge on after last season was a tale of two halves. Well, it’s proven to be the team that struggled down the stretch of that campaign and now looks like a potential seller ahead of the deadline. The question is, how aggressive do they get in off-loading their parts?

Utah has a host of veterans, like Jordan Clarkson, Colin Sexton and Kelly Olynyk, that could help playoff teams and would net the franchise’s draft picks to help with its rebuild. Then there’s the recently acquired John Collins, who’s reportedly on the trade block, or the nuclear option — trading star forward Lauri Markkanen.

Reports have suggested Markkanen could be available, but that the Jazz have put a big price tag on the All-Star. The 26-year old is in the third season of a now bargain four-year, $67.5 million deal, but would a team really be willing to pay up for a potential one and a half season rental? And do the Jazz instead see him as part of their long-term plans?

Wizards unloading more pieces

Washington already hit the reset button in the off-season, trading away Bradley Beal and Kristaps Porzingis for a collection of young players and draft picks as the franchise moved into all-out tank mode.

And they mightn’t be done wheeling and dealing key pieces yet. Jordan Poole and Tyus Jones, who only just arrived at the Wizards in the off-season, have been linked to trade rumours and could well land at their third NBA stop in a matter of months.

Both players have had indifferent starts to their Washington tenures and have curiously had their minutes monitored at times as Wes Unseld Jr hasn’t opted to lean heavily into his big guns in favour of a balanced approach. You get the impression that perhaps outside Pick 7 draftee Bilal Coulibaly, everyone and anyone would be up for grabs for the 4-22 Wizards.

Pistons navigating their disaster

It’s been some sort of horror run for the Pistons amid their franchise worst 24-game losing streak. It’s felt like nothing has gone right for the struggling side as it ponders what levers to pull in bid to turn its woeful season around – or at least in a better direction.

That includes potential front office moves given the current mix clearly isn’t working, plus the franchise has just about already guaranteed itself another high-end draft pick regardless of possible changes. It also at times feels like Monty Williams has too many options in his inconsistent rotation and may need management to come over the top and force him to play a group of eight to nine guys.

Jaden Ivey has struggled and been underutilized at times, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if he was moved for a fresh start elsewhere.

Bojan Bogdanovic is the one who could yield Detroit a nice haul, but he provides invaluable leadership, stability where there otherwise isn’t much and has been one of their few consistent producers this season. Plus he just re-signed on a two-year deal in a great showing Detroit is where he wants to be. All the while, the Pistons will be praying Cade Cunningham stays patient with the franchise through the current mess.

Do the Knicks take their big swing?

Is this finally the year the Knicks make their big move? It’s probably more a question of whether or not there’s a move to make given there isn’t a really big fish on the market (or so we think?), while those that are either don’t make much sense – like a Zach LaVine or DeMar DeRozan – or they’re on an expiring deal – like a Pascal Siakam or OG Anunoby.

What we know though is that the Knicks are in the market superstar and have a host of draft picks they’ve accumulated in recent years, so there’s probably no team better placed to land a big name. The Knicks’ current big three of Jalen Brunson, Julius Randle and RJ Barrett are also similar-ish types of players, particularly the latter two, so they could use a different skill or genuine upgrade to take the team to the next level.

New York should be thinking big though — like Joel Embiid, Karl-Anthony Towns or Donovan Mitchell big – and bide their time until a star of that quality becomes available.

Curious case of Cleveland

Speaking of Mitchell, the superstar guard’s Cavs have a bit to ponder and are another team that could look to shake things up. They haven’t had the same spark as last season, stalling in the middle ranks of the Eastern Conference standings. And it’s frankly hard to pinpoint why.

But there’s suddenly question marks over whether the Mitchell-Darius Garland backcourt makes sense, plus if the Jarrett Allen-Evan Mobley froncourt is viable long-term. After a hot start to Mobley’s career where he looked to have superstar traits the big man hasn’t quite come on in his second or third seasons. The Cavs also added Max Strus over the off-season to bolster their wing shooting, but other problems have now arisen.

If any major piece is moving by the deadline – and it’s not Mitchell (more on that in a moment) – Allen might be the odd one out to change up the dynamic. One thing seems clear though, the Cavs, as constructed, don’t seem capable of competing with the best teams in the Eastern Conference.

… so do the Cavs jump off the Mitchell train?

Cleveland’s most important decision is what it does with Donovan Mitchell. In the third season of a five-year, $163 million deal – a deal he can opt out of at the end of next season – the Cavs will be pondering whether or not they’re confident the superstar guard is going to re-sign with them. If not, they risk losing him for nothing instead of getting a lucrative package right now. If the team’s lacklustre form continues, they’d surely have their doubts.

This is of course a player the franchise only last year dished up a huge haul for including Lauri Markkanen, three first-round picks and two pick swaps – assets Cleveland would’ve effectively given away for nothing if Mitchell does eventually walk. Multiple teams are queuing up for Mitchell’s services including the Knicks, who are probably the biggest threat, Nets and Heat. But can the Cavs convince him to stick around long-term?

Does Morey go all in?

To pull the trigger or not? The Sixers have a strong draft hand after James Harden’s trade to the Clippers where they racked up a host of draft picks.

Philly general manager Daryl Morey would now be pondering whether he goes all in with the current roster by trying to land another star with that draft capital – if there’s indeed a move to make. Or whether he sticks the course with the current team, which is currently third in the East with a 18-8 record, and sees how far it can go under the lead of new coach Nick Nurse and superstar duo Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey.

As already mentioned, there just might not be the right player available on the market, plus Maxey’s breakout season means a potential addition would likely have to slot in as the third star. Zach LaVine? DeMar DeRozan? Lauri Markkanen? Pascal Siakam? OG Anunoby? Klay Thompson? These are the sort of names Philly would surely be looking at.

How about Presti?

There might never have been a team better placed than the OKC Thunder right now. Not only do they sit second in the West with the fifth-best record in the entire NBA – and one of the youngest rosters in the league – they’re also sitting on an unprecedented mountain of draft picks. It’s a collection that could dwarf any other side in terms making mega offers.

There’s perhaps now greater urgency for highly regarded general manager Sam Presti to use those draft picks given the team this season has arrived ahead of its time, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander among the MVP contenders and Chet Holmgren adding a new dimension to this team as the big its lacked in recent years.

So does Presti swing for the fences? Given the amount of draft stock he has, he could yet pry a name we haven’t yet even heard about potentially being on the market. Maybe the most obvious move would be to put another quality big in the frontcourt next to Holmgren. There’s also been some calls for the team to entertain a Josh Giddey trade, but given the Aussie’s current off-court drama, it’s hard to see that happening.

Is Zion happy?

A Zion Williamson trade hasn’t necessarily generated any buzz, and while a move feels unlikely, stranger things have happened. We saw frustrations start to surface from the former Pick 1 earlier this year during the team’s struggles, while there’s also been questions of his commitment to staying in peak physical condition and overall professionalism, having been cruelled by injuries early in his career.

It comes amid a weird season from both Williamson and the Pelicans. At times New Orleans, now 16-12, has looked like a force and Williamson a potential All-Star. But at other times, they’ve underwhelmed and felt dysfunctional. It just feels like a situation that could blow up at any moment, even if Williamson, 23, has so far shown commitment to the franchise including signing a five-year, $197 million deal with the team – a deal he’s in the first season of.

Other potential buyers … one particularly interesting

Let’s call this the teams that have looked good, but are probably lacking another strong piece for them to compete with the best teams in the NBA. We’re mainly looking at the Miami Heat, Dallas Mavericks, Sacramento Kings, Indiana Pacers and Orlando Magic, all of which have been linked to rival stars at different stages.

The Heat are probably the most interesting and coming off an NBA Finals appearance, so they’re clearly not far off. They were of course seen as the only suitor for Damian Lillard in the off-season. But when they weren’t able to meet Portland’s demands in a trade, the Bucks swooped in. Would Miami be ruing a potential missed opportunity? The Heat were also linked to Bradley Beal at one point, and more recently, Donovan Mitchell, so it certainly seems they’re canvassing the market.

The other aforementioned teams have all enjoyed strong starts to the season, but aren’t yet quite seen as on the same level as the upper echelon sides. Who can the Mavs find to help Doncic compete with the top teams in the West? Same goes for Indiana and Haliburton. Can the Kings upgrade somewhere? Could Orlando consolidate/cash in with its spread of exciting pieces for another star? Even if it’s not a massive slam dunk play, these sides could look to make changes in some form.