The Socceroos’ World Cup dream is still alive.
After a 1-0 win against Tunisia on Saturday night, Australia’s hopes of qualifying to the Round of 16 for the first time since 2006 will likely still come down to the final group stage matches on Thursday morning.
Here’s how the Socceroos can make history in Qatar.
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If France beats Denmark overnight, France would be on six points with qualification assured. The Socceroos are on three points, with Denmark and Tunisia on one point apiece.
Therefore it would come down to the final match-day for the Socceroos to progress.
If the Socceroos beat Denmark, they would certainly progress with six points (two wins and a loss to France). France would be on at least six points.
If the Socceroos draw with Denmark in the final match, once again things would come down to other results. The Socceroos would be on four points.
Then:
– If France beat Tunisia, Aus (6pts) would be through behind France (9), with Denmark and Tunisia on one point each.
– If France and Tunisia draw, Aus (6pts) would be behind France (7), but ahead of Tunisia (2) and Denmark (2).
– If Tunisia beat France, Aus (4pts), would be level with Tunisia (4), behind France (9) points. Denmark would be eliminated on two points. In this case, it would come down to goal difference (then goals scored, head-to-head, and so on).
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With the Socceroos’ victory and a France and Denmark draw, France would be on four points, the Socceroos three, Denmark two, and Tunisia one.
Then, if the Socceroos draw in the final match with Denmark, the Socceroos would be on four points and Denmark three.
– If France beat Tunisia, they would progress on seven points ahead of Australia.
– If France and Tunisia draw, France would be on five points, the Socceroos four, Denmark three, and Tunisia two.
– If Tunisia beat France, Tunisia would be on four points. Australia AND France would also be on four points, with Denmark on three points. It would come down to goal difference and other tiebreakers.
With the Socceroos’ victory and a Denmark win over France, then Denmark would be on four points, the Socceroos would be on three points, France would be on three points, and Tunisia on one point.
Then, if the Socceroos draw in the final match with Denmark, Denmark would be on five points and the Socceroos on four points.
– If France beat Tunisia, France would be on six points. Both France and Denmark would progress.
– If France and Tunisia draw, France would be on four points (Denmark on five, the Roos on four, Tunisia two). It would come down to goal difference and other tiebreakers.
– If Tunisia beat France, Tunisia would be on four points, and France on three points. It would again be decided by the tiebreakers.
