By Neil Evans
Track: Heavy 9 and rail out 4m
Race 1
1. Pratt is an emerging three-year-old resuming off two strong trials on the Beaumont circuit here, and is bred to thrive in heavy ground. Was competitive enough in deeper races in that initial campaign, and looks to have this lot covered, especially with a leading and trial-winning rider in the saddle. 8. Perasta is also trained on the course, and can improve sharply after doing nothing first-up. Another local 2. Enchanted World is a filly on debut for the home track Kris Lees stable, and has been given plenty of time at the trials.
How to play it: Pratt to win
Racing returns to Newcastle on Monday.Credit: Getty
Race 2
3. Tyrone’s Power will likely jump a clear favourite off a solid second start run at Warwick Farm in soft ground. Carries only 1kg more here coming back to a much weaker juvenile race, and drawn to get the right trail just off speed.1. Divo is a home tracker by Capitalist in the Nathan Doyle stable, and naturally a big watch behind two trial wins last month. 2. Toughenup Son, a debutante by Sebring Sun, and 8. Scarlet Monarch, with an edge in fitness fourth-up; can add value into trifecta and first fours.
How to play it: Tyrone’s Power to win
Race 3
10. Prima Bella is a capable & still lightly raced metropolitan mare resuming off two trials, winning the former in heavy ground by a big margin. Returned off a long break and debut win to find the line OK in consecutive CL1 runs last spring before spelling. Relishes wet tracks, and given her early tactical speed, the short course trip is ideal. 5. Hawker Hall is an exciting local who has to overcome a wide gate, but blew away his opposition in heavy ground here a month ago as the hottest of favourites before kept ticking over with the easiest of trial wins. Keep safe 2. Kiribati who also returns off a sound trial with an important gear change, and comes to hand quickly.
How to play it: Prima Bella to win
Race 4
7. Tommy Thug is a tough metropolitan five-year-old who is bursting to break through well into the prep in what is a thinner race. Mixed his form in two heavy track runs here, found to have cardiac arrhythmia from the latter, before only missing by a neck in a stronger race at Hawkesbury, and the winner has since scored easily again. Has placed eight times from 13 starts, and draws to get a soft run right behind the speed. 2. Trapalanda can improve sharply over more ground third-up, and back significantly in grade. 1. De Louviere is honest and has been in and around the money all prep.
How to play it: Tommy Thug to win
Race 5
1. Walk The Pier is a lightly raced and emerging metropolitan three-year-old who can finally start to live up to his ability coming back to the provincial ranks second-up. Had two mixed and somewhat luckless runs from the back to start his career at Kembla late last year before spelling. Then returned off two good trials with a handy closing effort in a much deeper Super Maiden at Warwick Farm. Back on the bigger course, and with one of the strongest riders in provincial NSW taking over in Keegan Latham, he can settle back off the speed and round them up late. Handles all going. Respect for 3. Blue Willow, a well-bred Godolphin filly who peaks at her third start.
How to play it: Walk The Pier to win
Race 6
4. She Conquers is a progressive filly who can go back-to-back fourth-up. Worked home OK in two Midway CL1 races before finishing best to claim an all-comers BM 64 at Kembla. Unproven in heavy ground, but is bred to handle it, and comes back to fillies and mares company here. 1. La Signora Dane won two straight at Canberra up to BM 60 level before faltering late in heavy going against a much deeper field at Wyong. Can bounce back, but a query in real heavy ground. 5. Divine Vicky has plenty of ability and has charged home late in her last two at Kembla, but hasn’t won for a while. 3. Corrupted is fit, and has far more to offer than her poor run in a similar company at Wyong last start.
How to play it: She Conquers to win
Race 7
9. Ceasefire is terrific value coming back 100m in distance third-up. Has tracked the speed before working home into a place in two runs this prep, the latest a classier BM 64 line-up, and is right at home on wet tracks. Over the odds. 10. Cool Lad is a tough customer who leads several threats third-up off a long break. 1.Mural Crown is ready to peak third-up despite drawing wide. 4. One Last Shot will find this more to his liking four weeks between runs after dropping out on the Kensington track.
How to play it: Ceasefire to win
Race 8
1. Dreamdeel is tough and fit, and gets a timely rise in trip behind a narrow BM 64 win a month ago. Afforded good weight relief after a 3kg claim, and was scratched from Sunday’s Gunnedah Cup to be saved for this in what should be a weakened affair with two of the better chances both running at Randwick on Saturday. 4. Kosuke is well placed, but very unlikely after being well beaten in a tougher BM 78 at Randwick. So too progressive filly 8. Elivina who unsuccessfully tackled a BM 72 on Saturday.
How to play it: Dreamdeel to win
BEST BETS:
Race 1: (1) Pratt
Race 5: (1) Walk The Pier
Best value:
Race 7: (9) Ceasefire
Supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au
